Las plantas de gas serán aplastadas por el viento, la energía solar para 2035, según un estudio

  • Los generadores que ahora están en los tableros de dibujo no serán económicos

  • El desarrollo sería una inversión dramática de la fortuna del gas.

Un estudio encontró que las plantas de energía a gas natural, que han aplastado la economía del carbón, están en camino de ser socavadas por la energía renovable y las grandes baterías.

Para 2035, será más costoso administrar el 90% de las plantas de gas que se proponen en los EE. UU. Que construir nuevas granjas eólicas y solares equipadas con sistemas de almacenamiento, según el informe del Instituto Rocky Mountain . Sucederá tan rápido que las plantas de gas ahora en los tableros de dibujo se volverán antieconómicas antes de que sus propietarios terminen de pagarlas, según el estudio.

El desarrollo sería una inversión dramática de la fortuna para las plantas de gas, que hace 20 años suministraron menos del 20% de la electricidad en los EE. UU. Hoy en día, esa participación ha aumentado al 35% a medida que la fracturación hidráulica ha hecho que el gas natural sea barato y abundante, lo que obligó a las cantidades de carbón plantas para cerrar a nivel nacional.

Los autores del estudio dicen que analizaron los costos de construcción, combustible y operaciones anticipadas para 68 gigavatios de plantas de gas propuestas en los Estados Unidos. Compararon esos costos con la construcción de una combinación de granjas solares, plantas eólicas y sistemas de baterías que, junto con los esfuerzos de conservación , podría suministrar la misma cantidad de electricidad y mantener estable la red.

A medida que las plantas de gas pierdan su ventaja en los mercados de energía, la economía de las tuberías también se verá afectada, dijo RMI en un estudio separado el lunes. Incluso las líneas ahora en las etapas de planificación pronto podrían quedarse sin dinero, según el informe.

"Nuestra historia para las plantas de gas es que, si la construyes, no funcionarán, no funcionarán con sus factores de capacidad esperados", dijo Mark Dyson, quien coescribió ambos informes. “Y eso también se filtra a las tuberías”.

ernc

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