Los últimos datos muestran aumentos abruptos de CO2 por séptimo año

Las lecturas del observatorio de Hawái acercan el umbral de 450 ppm antes de lo previsto

La concentración de dióxido de carbono en la atmósfera ha aumentado en el segundo aumento anual más alto en las últimas seis décadas, según nuevos datos.

Las concentraciones atmosféricas de los gases de efecto invernadero fueron de 414.8 partes por millón en mayo, que fue 3.5ppm más que en el mismo período del año pasado, según las lecturas del observatorio de Mauna Loa en Hawai, donde el dióxido de carbono ha sido monitoreado continuamente desde 1958.

Los científicos han advertido durante más de una década que las concentraciones de más de 450 ppm pueden provocar eventos climáticos extremos y que la temperatura aumente hasta 2ºC, más allá de la cual es probable que los efectos del calentamiento global se vuelvan catastróficos e irreversibles.

Mayo es el mes más significativo para las concentraciones globales de dióxido de carbono porque es el valor máximo para el año, antes de que el crecimiento de la vegetación en el hemisferio norte comience a absorber el gas del aire. El pico estacional y la caída se pueden ver en la curva de Keeling, llamada así por Charles Keeling, quien inició las observaciones en Mauna Loa debido a su aislamiento en el Océano Pacífico.

Este es el séptimo año consecutivo en el que se registraron fuertes incrementos en ppm, muy por encima del promedio anterior, y el quinto año desde que se superó el umbral de 400 ppm en 2014. En 2016, se registró el mayor salto anual en la serie, hasta el momento, de 404.1 en 2015 a 407.66 en 2016.

Tan recientemente como en la década de 1990, la tasa de crecimiento anual promedio fue de aproximadamente 1.5 ppm, pero en la última década se aceleró a 2.2 ppm, y ahora es aún más alta. Esto acerca el umbral de 450 ppm más pronto de lo que se había anticipado. Las concentraciones de gas han aumentado cada año, lo que refleja nuestra quema de combustibles fósiles.

Ralph Keeling, del Instituto Scripps, y el hijo de Charles, dijeron: "La tasa de crecimiento de CO 2 sigue siendo muy alta: el aumento desde mayo pasado fue muy superior al promedio de la década pasada". Señaló las condiciones leves de El Niño Experimenté este año como un posible factor.

Los hallazgos del martes provienen de Mauna Loa y de la Administración Nacional Oceánica y Atmosférica de los EE. UU., Que también ha realizado mediciones independientes complementarias de las concentraciones de gases de efecto invernadero desde la década de 1970. El observatorio Barrow de NOAA en la vertiente norte de Alaska mostró un promedio de 417.4ppm durante el período, pero el Ártico generalmente tiene lecturas de CO 2 más altas que la serie de Mauna Loa.

Pieter Tans, científico principal de NOAA, dijo: “Es de vital importancia contar con estas mediciones precisas de CO 2 a largo plazo para comprender la rapidez con que los combustibles fósiles están cambiando nuestro clima. "Estas son mediciones de la atmósfera real, y no dependen de ningún modelo, pero nos ayudan a verificar las proyecciones de los modelos climáticos, que en todo caso han subestimado el ritmo acelerado del cambio climático que se observa".

Termoelectrica

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